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Feb 05

NFL 2014 Pick’em: Final Results

In a Super Bowl that created discussion for the entire week thus far, the one key play that became a focal point of sports talk discussion all around the nation determined if we were going to finish with another stellar postseason. The Four Postseason Factors finished 8-2 for the postseason, but we ended up losing the only pick that came to our discretion. Had Seattle executed the proper play from the one-yard line, we probably have the correct call (Seahawks winning by three points), albeit by a much different scoring tempo than expected. Instead, we’ll just settle for a second Pick’em championship as is.

Super Bowl XLIX (12 points)
(1) New England Patriots (12-4 + 2-0) v. (3) Seattle Seahawks (12-4 + 2-0)

Check out this week’s and the overall numbers:

  • This week’s record and points: 0-1 and 0 points
  • Overall record and points: 195-71-1 and 385.5 points (73.22 win percentage)
  • Postseason: 8-3 and 54 points (72.73 win percentage)
  • Games of the Week: 42-14 regular season… 75 win percentage
  • Divisional Games: 72-24 regular season… 75 win percentage [includes 12-5 in GOTW]
  • Upset of the Week: 9-7 overall (176 ranking points… 56.25 win percentage)
  • Lock of the Week: 15-1 overall (best streak: 10 weeks)

Now for the competition, which just became a battle of TABM v. 21 experts. Experts from a few different publications will compete. We use Football Outsiders as one of our top competitors. Of course, there also needs to be a mainstream presence. Thus, the competition also includes the 13 experts from ESPN with online predictions and nine experts from NFL Network who work on either Gameday First or Gameday Morning. Finally, we close the competition panel with Pete Prisco of CBS Sports and Don Banks of Sports Illustrated.

Table 1: Expert Records and Points

Rank Expert Record Rank Expert Points
1 TABMathletics 195.5-71.5 1 TABM 385.5
2 Cris Carter, ESPN 187.5-79.5 2 KC Joyner, ESPN 368.5
3 Joyner 184.5-82.5 3 Carter 367.5
4 Tom Jackson, ESPN 183.5-83.5 4 Don Banks, SI 361.5
4 Ron Jaworski, ESPN 183.5-83.5 5 Steve Mariucci, NFLN 360.5
6 Michael Irvin, NFLN 181.5-85.5 6 Jaworski 358.5
7 Pete Prisco, CBS 180.5-86.5 7 Prisco 352.5
8 Banks 179.5-87.5 7 Adam Schefter, ESPN 352.5
8 Mariucci 179.5-87.5 9 Irvin 351.5
10 Seth Wickersham, ESPN 178.5-88.5 10 Jackson 348.5
M Mean Record 175.45-91.55 11 Wickersham 347.5
11 Marshall Faulk, NFLN 174.5-92.5 12 Mark Schlereth, ESPN 345.5
12 Schefter 174.5-92.5 M Mean Points 343.05
13 Erik Allen, ESPN 172.5-94.5 13 Keyshawn Johnson, ESPN 338.5
13 Schlereth 172.5-94.5 14 Football Outsiders 335.5
13 Kurt Warner, NFLN 172.5-94.5 15 Merril Hoge, ESPN 334.5
16 FO 170.5-96.5 16 Faulk 330.5
17 Johnson 169.5-97.5 17 Chris Mortensen, ESPN 325.5
18 Hoge 167.5-99.5 17 Warner 325.5
19 Mike Golic, ESPN 165.5-101.5 19 Allen 324.5
20 Mortensen 164.5-102.5 20 Mike Ditka, ESPN 317.5
21 Dita 161.5-105.5 21 Golic 314.5
21 Warren Sapp, NFLN 160.5-106.5 22 Sapp 300.5

NOTE: M = mean (average of the 22 competitors).

Overall, Cris Carter joined the ESPN Users and Pickwatch Users as the best expert in this year’s Pick’em competition, but he still finished short of reaching TABMathletics by eight games, according to the awesome people at NFL Pickwatch. As a result, TABMathletics wins the Pick’em championship for the second year in a row in both record and points!

Our two-year reign of dominance truly is impressive. We own a 384-148-2 record over those two seasons (72.10 win percentage) with 763.5 points out of a possible 1036 (73.70 point percentage). Of the 21 other experts in this competition to be used in both seasons, the next-best totals for both record and points are not in our league. Ron Jaworski is the nearest competitor with a 364-168-2 record (68.35 win percentage), while Don Banks is the nearest competitor with 720.5 points (69.54 point percentage).

We’re looking forward to putting in plenty of research this offseason, something which will hopefully set us up for another great season. We have found a system that works very well, so we know what to prepare for come 2015. Until then…

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